Service Plays Saturday 1/17/09

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[THECHICAGOCONNECTION]

ChicagoSportsConnection

ChicagoSportsConnection

I looked at the Saturday games for about 6 hours today and I really like these four.
..............................................................................

NCAAB
BUTLER -2 @ Ill-Chic...............2 EDT
Ill-Chic beat Valpo last game , but lost the 4 prior games.
Over-rated team now goes up against the best in conference.
..................................................................................

CINCINNATI (pk) @ Depaul.......2 EDT
Cincy 11-6
Depaul 9-8
....................but the records don't tell the whole story.
CINC 4 most recent losses were very tough games...
vs UCONN
vs PROV
@ MARQ
@ MEMP
...........prior to those games they won 10 of 12.
DEPAUL is not deep and I would be shocked to see them beat CINC here.
............................................................................................
EVANSVILLE -10.5 vs Indiana St.........8 EDT
EVAN 10-1 at home
INDST 2-7 on road
Evansville's got a good team.
The 5 losses were tough games.
@ BUTL
@NC
@ IL ST
@ SO ILL
vs a good N.IOWA team
............................IND ST on the other hand has 4 wins this year and has lost to some very bad teams.
..............................................................................
NBA
DENVER (pk) vs Orlando..........9 EDT
Orlando is involved in a very physical game vs the Lakers as I type this.
Game is even after 3 quarters.
ORL has to travel to DENV and play a very rested, very hot team.
Last of a very tough 4 game road trip for ORL .
*******************************************************
GL2us

 

[SteveMcQueen]

Raging Bull

Soccer:

1* Vitesse Arnhem/Twente Enschede over 3 (Dutch Erdivisie)

1* AC Milan -160 (Italy Serie A)

1* Falkirk/Rangers over 3 (Scottish Premier League)

2* Lyon/Grenoble over 2 (France Ligue 1)

2* Barcelona/Deportivo La Coruna over 3 (Spain La Liga)

 

[SteveMcQueen]

Thank you for your purchase.
This is the information you paid for:

ATS Sports Club
Saturday, January 17, 2009
$25 Soccer Back of the Net Winner:

France Ligue 1
Olympique Lyonnais -150

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DONNIE BLACK
WASHINGTON STATE AT OREGON (1/17)
Recommendation: Oregon
From the looks of it, both Oregon and Washington State are in for long seasons in the PAC-10. The Ducks’ four-year run of virtually the same starting lineup finally came to a halt this offseason and Washington State’s top two offensive weapons, Derrick Lowe and Kyle Weaver, graduated. Rebuilding is in full effect for the two schools. The Cougars have found it nearly impossible to score of late, averaging 52.4 ppg over their last five games. They rank as one of the nation’s worst at getting to the free throw line (13 attempts per game) and have shown little ability to consistently knock down the outside shot (31% 3-pt). Had it not been for a 19-of-26, 73% effort from the free throw line in a one-point home win over Stanford last Saturday, the Cougars would be winless in league play. Oregon had yielded similar results after being manhandled at home by USC and UCLA and then failing to reach 60 points in back-to-back losses to the Arizona schools. From a fundamental standpoint, Wazzu may have the defensive numbers but it has yet to offset a truly anemic offense. Stanford recently gave up 90 points at home to Arizona State and 84 on the road to Washington, yet the Cougars could manage only 55 against the Cardinal. Oregon may not be known for its defensive prowess but in this matchup, on their home court, they’ll provide enough offense to come away with the win.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

HELMUT SPORTS
UAB AT MEMPHIS (1/17)
Recommendation: Memphis
Since Calipari put highly touted freshman Tyreke Evans at the point, the Tigers have gone 5-0, winning by an average of 22.0 ppg. The Memphis defense has also turned it up a notch heading into the early portion of conference play, holding its last five opponents to 34.2% shooting from the field. The Tigers currently hold a 44-game C-USA conference-winning streak. Coming into the season, the Blazers
were expected to make a push for the NCAA tournament but by the looks of it, they will need to win the conference tournament for a bid. They were dealt a huge blow December 15th when four players were suddenly no longer a part of the team with Armon Bassett and Terrence Roderick deciding to leave the program
and Ed Berrios and Jeremy Mayfield were ruled academically ineligible. UAB is left with just eight players on their roster, only six of whom are on scholarship.
The Blazers have recently had an opportunity to play some tougher teams with their reduced roster and have not fared well, losing by 20 to Louisville, 19 to Houston and 4 to Butler. This looks like the classic case of two teams heading in opposite directions and I feel confident in laying the points with the Tigers

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

ERIN RYNNING
MILWAUKEE AT LA CLIPPERS (1/17)
Recommendation: Milwaukee
The Bucks will hit the Staple Center for a Saturday night date with the Clippers. The Bucks look to have the superior state of mind for this contest
after coming together over the last month. Head coach Scott Skiles is once again working his magic in the NBA. The Bucks were one of the worst teams in the league in terms of rebounding and defense the last few years but with virtually the same personnel, Skiles has now turned both weaknesses into above average capacities. Andrew Bogut has really
been a key cog in their improvement, while deserving votes for the league’s most improved player. Meanwhile, the Clippers are still the Clippers.
They are stuck with Mike Dunleavy as a coach and there has already
been plenty of unrest with this team as newly signed Baron Davis is already wearing out his welcome. It’s almost amazing how inefficient this offense is and in facing a solid defense in Milwaukee, things don’t expect to get any better. Take the Bucks to deliver the goods with two teams going in opposite directions as the All-Star break approaches.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

ROB VENO
NEW ORLEANS AT DETROIT (1/17)
Recommendation: New Orleans
The Pistons will be playing their fourth game in five nights and after playing at defensively inept Indiana and Oklahoma City, they may be caught off guard by new Orleans’ defensive intensity. That intensity combined with the Pistons’ sheer lack of offensive firepower (88 ppg last nine games) figures to have the host struggling for points. The Hornets present matchup difficulties as Allen Iverson meets his quickness in counterpart Chris Paul whose defensive prowess can fluster anyone in the league. I also like the insertion of offensive-minded shooting guard Rasul Butler into the starting lineup (27 points vs. Clippers last Saturday) as he’ll force budding Detroit guard Rodney Stuckey to work on defense. The multi-faceted frontline of New Orleans with Tyson Chandler, Peja Stojakovic and David West should be too much for a far less talented Pistons group. Detroit’s bench strength will be offset by Hornets’ head coach Byron Scott’s rotation, which has been significantly fortified by the addition of Antonio
Daniels. The Hornets enter this one off a game at Cleveland but expect a 48-minute effort and their talent to carry them to a spread-covering victory.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

ED CASH
MARQUETTE AT PROVIDENCE (1/17)
Recommendation: Providence
Marquette is off to a great start this year in the Big East, as they are currently tied atop the standings with a 4-0 mark. The Golden Eagles are also 15-2 on the year and are ranked firmly in the top 20 in the nation. This week could serve as a letdown as they travel to Providence to take on the Friars. Marquette will not have played since their convincing win over West Virginia last weekend and the time off could work against them and their seven-game winning streak. Providence also has the week off after its tough loss last weekend at Georgetown. The Friars are 3-1 in conference play, defeating St. John’s, Cincinnati and DePaul before falling to the Hoyas. Providence has won nine straight on its home court after opening the season with a home loss to Northeastern. The Friars have gotten excellent play from their bench, with seven players averaging between 8.6 and 13.9 ppg. They should match up well with the three solid guards from Marquette, as four of their top five scorers are perimeter-type players. There is a lot of parity in the upper-half of the Big East. Marquette has the tools to contend for the title but Providence is no slouch and looks to be improving on a daily basis under first-year head coach Keno Davis. Back the Friars this weekend.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

FAIRWAY JAY
WYOMING AT UNLV (1/17)
Recommendation: Over
Wyoming senior guard Brandon Ewing leads the Mountain West Conference in scoring, assists and minutes played as part of Wyoming’s 81 ppg offense. The Cowboys have four starters averaging over 14 ppg , they go to the free throw line at any extremely high rate and overall, play at a very fast pace. But while their offense is clicking, the defense has been anything but stifling at 76 ppg allowed. In four of the Cowboys’ recent road games against quality competition they allowed 91, 90, 113 and 86 points. UNLV doesn’t play at an rapid pace but they will welcome the opportunity to run up and down against a team that plays little to no defense. The Rebels lead the league in made 3-point shots and figure to get plenty of open looks against weaker Wyoming. UNLV coach Lon Kruger was concerned with his team’s lack of defense in a recent loss at TCU after allowing over 56% shooting and 80 points. Also of concern is the Rebels’ league-worst rebounding margin. Both these teams took over 24 shot attempts beyond the arch during last year’s meeting in Las Vegas in a 78-71 Rebels win. UNLV will be a double-digit favorite and plenty of scoring is expected again.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MARTY OTTO
JAMES MADISON AT GEORGE MASON (1/17)
Recommendation: James Madison
Depending on some mid-week results, this line could come out anywhere from +7 to +9 giving us plenty of wiggle room with a good underdog. The market has been slow to pick up on James Madison’s better play of late. They suffered through early injuries and departures early in the season but have gotten some stellar play from freshmen Julius Wells and Devon Moore, who are averaging double-digits. Andrey Semenov has also provided solid minutes
in his freshman campaign, proving to be a versatile do-it-all type of player. The return of Juwann James -- the stabilizing force for the Dukes -- has turned this team into a balanced and capable unit. They have won seven of nine since James came back from injury, covering all but one of those games. The defense has been especially strong, holding five straight opponents to 41% shooting or less. Fundamentally, JMU matches up very well with Mason.
They have the inside strength and the length at guard to frustrate the Patriots. This one should be a relatively low scoring bruiser, one where either team could win in the end, but neither pulls away. Take the points with JMU.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

BRENT CROW
VANDERBILT AT MISSISSIPPI STATE (1/17)
Recommendation: Mississippi State
Mississippi State has played very well since a home loss to San Diego on December 30th. Since that game, the Bulldogs have demolished Houston and Western Kentucky at home and got a nice road win at Arkansas last Saturday to open SEC play. They seem to be coming together with JC point guard Dee Bost finding his rhythm on the court and Jarvis Vernado controlling the paint on both ends of the court. Bost has played his best three games of the year during the winning streak as he gets comfortable in Rick Stansbury’s system. This week the Bulldogs should extend their winning streak to five games with home contests against Alabama and Vanderbilt. Vanderbilt is 11-4 on the year, but has benefitted from a soft non-conference schedule. Sophomore center AJ Ogilvy sat out Vandy’s 10-point road loss to Kentucky but even with him back in the lineup, I expect this team to struggle to score on a consistent basis in SEC play. The three-point shot has typically been a big aspect of the Commodores’ offense but the success rate against better competition has thrown up red flags. In their five losses, Vandy shot 17-of-80, 21% from deep. With Mississippi State’s ability to defend, points are going to be hard to come by for the road team. Lay the points.

 

[SteveMcQueen]

Thank you for your purchase.
This is the information you paid for:

ATS Sports Club
Saturday, January 17, 2009
$25 Soccer Back of the Net Winner:

Spain La Liga
Barcelona vs. Deportivo La Coruna over 3

 

[LocksRus]

M@tt River$

150,000* HUGE DOG MAY WIN OUTRIGHT Plus Bonus Locks

Your winners here are on:



1. 150,000♦ South Carolina

2. 50,000♦ Nebraska

3. 50,000♦ Clemson

4. 50,000♦ Cleveland State





1. There is no doubt that Tennessee has a lot of talent and can score points in bunches but right now the Volunteers are really not all that and to get such a healthy number back with a very very capable South Carolina squad is a total coup!



Bruce Pearl's squad has now dropped to 10-5 after losing three of their last four and they have done so in fairly dreadful fashion. The Vols were just blistered at home by Jodie Meeks and his 54 points as a decent but far from great Kentucky squad went to Knoxville and won by about 20. Before that the Vols lost at home to a reeling Gonzaga group that was all the way across the country, beat a fairly poor Georgia group and actually trailed by eight or 9 with about eight minutes to play and before that UT was blasted at Kansas against what is a fairly young and immature Jayhawk team as they were down by 20 right off the bat.



I am not saying that Tennessee cannot regain some swagger because in due time they probably will but the home court advantage is now somewhat gone as they are far from invincible at this point and despite just getting drilled in LSU the Gamecocks are an extremely capable team that certainly has the upside to come in here and walk off the court a victor.



Even with that bad last loss the 'Cocks are still a quality 12-3 including a win in Baylor on the road showing how Devan Downey and the fellas can take their game up to a pretty solid level in hostile environments. Do not sleep on Darrin Horn's team as they have been building a nice little nucleus over the past few seasons and are actually ready to be a good team this season led by Downey, Zam Frederick, Dominique Archie and Mike Holmes.



Do not be shocked to see the Tennessee slide continue today!





2. The Huskers are not the most talented of teams there is no denying that but these guys are always extremely solid at home and for sure should beat a decent but far from great Kansas State team.



The Wildcats have been a little better than most people thought going into the season but Michael Beasley is still gone and the road is never an easy place to play as we just saw in Kansas where Frank Martin's team was spanked in allowing 87 points.



K State has now lost two straight games and are a poor 1-3 on the road including a loss in Eugene against an Oregon squad that is terrible this season and in Iowa against a mediocre Hawkeye team.



Steve Harley and the home Huskers just lost at Iowa State but won four straight before that including upsetting Missouri at home in a similar spot. This is the exact situation where the home court proves to be absolutely monstrous as is usally the case in the Big 12 and to get Nebraska at home at this price is too good to pass up.







3. Wake Forest at Clemson may be the game of the day and that says a lot about these rising once again programs. Both the Tigers and Demon Deacons are undefeated and both are very very talented and very very good.



I freely do admit that Dino Gaudio's visitors have looked the better this season and we just saw another example of that in the phenomenal win against North Carolina but I see this run coming to an end here as the road once again will prove to be too much.



We saw last season how much potential the Tigers have as they stood toe to toe with North Carolina a bunch of times and should have won both if not for late collapses.



Jeff Teague is great and the Deacs are blowing up for sure right now but Oliver Purnell's boys aren't too shabby led by Trevor Booker and KC Rivers and being in Littlejohn should be a tad too much for the surging but due to get whacked a bit Deacs.



I expect high level hoops today but Clemson will prevail in front of their home fans as the rough and tough schedule finally catches up to a very good but still overachieving Wake Forest.







4. Cleveland State burned me on Thursday at Wiscy GB but I have not lost hope with the Vikings. I still believe that Cleveland State is one of the best teams in the conference and possibly thee best, save Butler. Wisconsin Milwaukee has had some recent success in the NCAA Tournament but things are not on that same level right now and even being at home should not be enough in this situation for what better be a focused Cleveland State team as another loss could start a skid.



Rob Jeters' Panthers are 11-6 and have won six of seven but they are no longer an upper eschelon Horizon League team and I think we will see another indication of that here as the Vikings show winning in Syracuse was not just some random fluke.



No rocket science here or anything as Gary Waters will have his team ready and J'Nathan Bullock will prove to be the best player on the floor.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Pointwise

COLLEGE KEY RELEASES
UTAH over Colorado State (Sat) RATING: 2
MICHIGAN over Ohio State (Sat) RATING: 3

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Kelso

50 unit BB TCU-2.5

<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->He is 1-3 on 50 units this season - loss last 3
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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Scott Spreitzer

Game: Oklahoma State at Baylor Jan 17 2009 1:45PM
Prediction: Oklahoma State
Reason: I'm playing Oklahoma State, plus points over Baylor. The Bears have lacked intensity at times this season on the defensive end. While they had little trouble with some of the "softies" on their schedule, they couldn't handle the offensive talent of Texas A&M, South Carolina, and Wake Forest. The Bears have now given up 78 or more points in three of their last four games. Oklahoma State will make Baylor work on the defensive end, and the Cowboys are battle-tested. OSU has already faced Gonzaga, Michigan State, and Washington away from home, and most recently beat Texas A&M by 11-points. They're scoring 85 ppg, with five players averaging in double-figures, led by guard James Anderson's 17.8 ppg. OSU's lineup is a bit misleading. At first glance, you'll see they are "guard-heavy." But those top guards go 6'5, 6'6, and 6'6, which makes them a very tough matchup. In fact, Anderson, Obi Muonelo, and Terrel Harris, (all three listed as guards), combine for 20.4 rebounds per game! They can take the defender inside off the dribble, or hit from area code three. OSU's top five scorers average between 2.8 and 6.9 three-point attempts per contest. All but one is hitting at least 42.6% of those long distance shots! I have this one going right to the wire, making those generous points worth taking. OSU beat Baylor 93-83 in their final meeting last year. I expect another high-scoring affair with the underdog taking home the cash. I'm taking the points with Oklahoma State on Saturday afternoon. Thanks! GL! Scott.
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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MIGHTY QUINN

Mighty missed with the Hornets ( 6-1/2) Friday night.

Saturday it's Clemson. The deficit is 115 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Rocketman Sports

Miami Ohio @ Kent State 12:00 PM EST
Play On: (#608) 3* Kent State -2 1/2

Kent State is 33-4 SU at home the past 3 years. Miami Ohio is scoring only 57 points per game on the road this year. Kent State is scoring 79.9 points per game at home while allowing only 62 points per game at home this season. Kent State is 17-7 ATS overall vs Miami Ohio since 1997. Golden Flashes are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 50 points in their previous game. Golden Flashes are 28-8-1 ATS in their last 37 games as a home favorite of 0.5-6.5. Golden Flashes are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 vs. Mid-American. Golden Flashes are 29-11 ATS in their last 40 games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5. Red Hawks are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Kent St.. Red Hawks are 1-6 ATS in the last 7 meetings. We'll play Kent State for 3 units today! Thanks and good luck, Rocky

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Cajun Sports

CBB 2*

Saturday
TIME: 8 PM EST. Saturday January 17 (CBSC)
GAME: UAB Blazers vs. Memphis Tigers -13
PLAY: 2* Memphis Tigers -13

ANALYSIS:
The UAB Blazers hit the CUSA road for a Saturday matchup against the Memphis Tigers at the FedEx Forum in Memphis. UAB enters tonight’s game with a record of 10-6 SU overall and 3-4 SU on the road. Memphis is once again the elite team in their conference with a record of 13-3 SU and a 9-1 mark at home.

This venue has certainly caused the Blazers some grief especially in their last two visits here as they were defeated by 38 and 25 points respectively. Tonight’s matchup has all the makings of a repeat performance with the Tigers relentless “D” and the fact that the Blazers are short on talent and depth.

Memphis up-tempo style on offense will also be a problem for the Blazers as they are 12-29 ATS versus up-tempo teams averaging 62 or more shots per game since 1997. The Blazers are 1-9 ATS versus teams who average 40 or more rebounds per game on the season over the last 3 years. They also struggle against good offensive teams going 1-8 ATS in road games versus teams scoring 77+ points per game over the last 3 seasons.

We also see that the Memphis Tigers are active in a CBB system that tells us to Play ON CBB favorites of 10 to 19.5 points after a combined score of 110 points or less, with just two starters returning from last season. This system has a record of 48-14 ATS the last five seasons, 26-5 ATS the last three seasons and a perfect 5-0 ATS this year!

Our Team Performance Ratings Index projects a 19.6 point advantage for the Memphis Tigers in tonight’s contest. Combine the fundamental, technical and situational support and we have a play on the host in this matchup, so lay the chalk as Memphis continues the Blazers nightmare at the FedEx Forum.

PROJECTED FINAL SCORE: (2*) Memphis Tigers 88 UAB Blazers 65